Drought conditions are especially severe in the Southwest region but some key farm areas also are experiencing extensive drought. Most of...

Implied volatility continues to drop along with the recent string of record highs for US stocks. Credit risk, measured by the high yield...

With the anniversary of the stock market lows behind us, let's review just how much of a rebound occurred in both large and small-cap...

With WTI Crude Oil price above $65, let's take a look at some underlying fundamentals. The pandemic and its lockdown crushed demand last...

Small-caps and crude oil have been the big winners YTD. The Russell 2000 index and the April WTI Crude Oil futures contract had strong...

Junk bonds are no longer high yield bonds. The chart tracks the recent history of the yields on the broader high yield index (red line)...

Interest rates, especially the long end of the curve, have been edging up from the lows of 2020. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield (orange...

Structural market developments are leading to extraordinary moves in markets. We have seen highly shorted stocks, such as GameStop and...

Equities continue to perform well with the S&P 500 recording positive returns in both December and YTD 1/20/21. The chart highlights S&P...

I'm going old school here with a chart of M1 (blue) and the velocity of M1 (orange). The fiscal and monetary responses last year pushed...

While stocks had a very good year in 2020, many commodities also did well. The top chart highlights how commodities have performed versus...

Banks have underperformed YTD as the KBW Bank Index is down 16.9% while the S&P 500 is up 13.4% through Friday 12/11. U.S. banks entered...

November returns were exceptional for equities. A string of positive vaccine news following the election boosted sentiment and...

Sector leadership has changed in recent months. Some attribute the shift to positive news on the vaccine front since the election but the...

Risk in equity and bond markets have dropped to near pre-spring COVID-19 lockdowns. Implied volatility in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100...

Large-cap stocks continue to outperform small-caps this year on a rolling 12-month basis. The S&P 500 index (blue line) increased 11.8%...

There have been many discussions on whether bonds, particularly U.S. Treasury notes and bonds, will continue to provide diversification...

Here is an update to my previous posts on Fastenal, a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies. It is only one...

Drought conditions continue to worsen across much of the U.S. with 44% of land area now at some level of drought. If the abnormally dry...

Coffee prices have been volatile in the last year, with the contract for December 2020 futures exceeding $1.45 in late 2019 and dropping...